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Sep 28 2012

Buck Up, Countermoonbats

Largely with the use of rigged polls, the media has had some success in dispiriting patriotic Americans in the run-up to the biggest election of our lives. Maybe this guess post by B1bbet will help dispel the gloom:

I know these odious polls are trying on our patience, but keep these things in mind as you slog through the latest MSM’s putrid poll discharge.

1. Missouri: Since 1904, MO has gotten the winner of the Presidential Election wrong just twice; once in 1956 and last year. Last year, they missed it by the wafer-thin margin of 0.1% of votes cast. Romney is up big there — by about 7 points by the RCP average as I write this. MO getting it wrong, two years in a row and by such a large margin this time around? Does not compute. (http://www.270towin.com/states/Missouri)

2. Undecideds: Logic would dictate that undecided voters are such since they don’t like how the incumbent is performing, otherwise they would be in his camp already, as they know what they’re getting when casting their ballot for him. A rather lengthy study here (http://www.pollingreport.com/incumbent.htm) shows that approximately 82% of undecided voters end up voting for the challenger should they vote at all. I’m going to grant The Won a bit of wiggle room here due to the media’s ongoing tongue bath, though, and say that number will be just 75% this time around. Three of 4 undecided voters pulling the lever for Romney? Yes, please.

3. Party Identification: Research here shows that, even with a slim lead in party identification, the Republicans typically come out winners. As of this writing, this method seems to show a landslide for The R’n’R Express. http://datechguyblog.com/2012/09/17/demoralized-as-hell-the-poll-the-media-isnt-talking-about-edition/

Bonus nuggets of goodness:

~ 2010 Happened: A historic rebuking of Obama’s hard-left policies actually DID happen, as much as the MSM may like to forget about it. Now, unlike Clinton, who was dragged further to the center by his midterm spanking, Obama only went harder left as a result. Think that sits well with all the people who cast votes in the Big Red Wave midterms?

~ Common Sense: Are there ANY indicators, besides these clearly slanted polls, that one can point to and say, “Yeah, Obama’s got that going for him”? The only one I could think of was bin Laden, and I’m pretty sure he won’t be mentioning that one much in the coming weeks for obvious reasons.

In short — don’t believe the hype. Believe your gut. This guy is terrible and the majority of the country knows it, just like you and I do.

Remain Calm.

Carry On.

Vote.

obamas-work-is-done-here
Damned straight it’s done.


21 Responses to “Buck Up, Countermoonbats”

  1. StanInTexas says:

    As far as Party Identification goes, I have noticed a trend on many political boards. Nearly all people on the Right identify themselves as being on the Right, either by saying they are Republican, Conservative, or members of the Tea Party.

    However, even the most hard-core Leftist you encounter will call himself a Moderate or an Independent. They could be so far to the Left that they consider Michael Moore a Right-Wing nutcase, and yet they would still think they are perfectly in the center of the American political spectrum.

    That is why the pools are skewed by a HUGE margin. We already know they over-sample Democrats in these poll, sometimes as much as 10%. But when you see 25-35% “Independents” in the sample, you can bet your last dollar that the bulk of them are dyed-in-the-wool Leftists.

  2. Ummah Gummah says:

    .

    WHY DOES EVERYONE IGNORE THE NON-VOTERS!!!!!

    They’re gonna come out in DROVES this time around..

    .

  3. Ummah Gummah says:

    .

    Actually, I know the answer. The dems don’t want this sleeping Giant mentioned at all cause 99.99 % of them are going to vote RR just to be rid of the won and his claqueurs.

    The RovINOs don’t want them either because they will have to make concessions to the right if they acknowledge disgruntled Conservatives and Patriots too much.

    Ergo, no mention of the BIGGEST VOTING BLOC OF ALL.

    A serious THIRD PARTY can easily scoop up 30+ % of the overall vote in a jiffy – IF they base themselves on strict CONSTITUTIONALISM, small government and Patriotism.

    BORDERS, LANGUAGE, CULTURE

    That’s it. Simple, really.

    As long as both parties keep running against the American People, this huge potential will remain untapped and unrepresented.

    Lip service no longer does the trick.

    RR in November ’12

    TEA in 2013!!!

    .

  4. Mickey Shea says:

    “A few months ago, George Soros, the billionaire financier and prolific donor to Democratic causes, picked up the phone and called an old friend. Soros was nervous, he told his friend. Nervous from watching Mitt Romney pull even with the president in national polls and in polls of battleground states like Ohio and Florida. Nervous from seeing Republican super-PACs amass tens of millions of dollars with which to pound Obama on the airwaves. Soros was slowly coming around to the fact that Romney could win.”

  5. Fred C. Dobbs says:

    What’s ridiculous is, besides oversampling Dhimocrats, they’ve also been severely UNDER-counting independents. Remember when independents were the “must have” demographic back in ’08? Remember how that’s all we heard about? Interesting article from Big Journalism on the subject.

    http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Journalism/2012/09/27/Romney-Winning-Swing-State-Independents-Media-Ignores

    When you couple those numbers with the re-weighted numbers from http://unskewedpolls.com/ it’s hard to see this as anything but a potential Romney landslide as Dick Morris has been predicting for months.

    I’m really tired of the talking heads on our side acting like these polls were all written by the very hand of God. They need to call these pollsters out like some people have like Rush and Morris.

    After reading about this stuff it now just pisses me off when I hear a conservative talking about how close the race is and quoting these ridiculously skewed polls- like Newt the other day, for example. I know they’re just hedging their bets, but come on….

  6. […] gloom: I know these odious polls are trying on our patience, but keep these things in mind as […] Moonbattery Tags: buck, Countermoonbats Posted in Pundits | No Comments […]

  7. Paladin says:

    Obama didn’t win by much last time, and he was running against McCain.
    1) Mittens the wonder hair, while far from perfect, is much better than McCain.
    2) Is Obama going to get MORE votes this time around? Is there any demographic that you can think of which is more enthusiastic about voting for him this time than last time?

    Unless he really screws the pooch, Mittens has this in the bag.

  8. St. Gilbert says:

    In a fair election, Romney wins. But this is the Chicago political machine at work. By definition, the election is rigged. Unless Romney is up by a legitimate 10 points in each of the key states, he will lose. The machine can cover any spread under about 10 points. The bias and corruption in the polls is only a reflection of the corruption in the election itself. A true 55-45 spread in favor of Romney will be the narrowest of victories in the final count. Anything less and Obama gets re-elected.

  9. Wilberforce says:

    Excellent points here by all posters and I agree with the general sentiment: this should be Romney’s to win.

    The major concern really should be election fraud, especially this time around. The lefty blogs/sites are all posting stories about ‘poll watchers’ and the commenters seem to be pretty worried about that. Gosh, why would that be?

    http://thinkprogress.org/justice/2012/08/28/748841/tea-party-group-builds-poll-watcher-network-to-discourage-voting-create-false-record-of-voter-fraud/?mobile=nc

    http://www.thenation.com/article/169532/how-right-building-its-poll-watcher-network-november#

  10. Dr. 9 says:

    The MSM is, once again, counting on the weakness and stupidity of the American people which allowed the MSM to get the Muslim-in-Chief elected the first time. In about 35 days, we’ll find out if the media is right. Again.

  11. Ghost of FA Hayek says:

    Being from the land of 10,000 loons, it is impossible for me to accurately get a handle on any election
    I live in a very conservative portion of a very liberal state.
    The only “independents” here are libs creating a smoke screen, like Stan described
    Scratch every one, and guaranteed you find a Democrapt vote.
    Election results locally have been consistently three out of four for Republicans
    Even the hapless McLame.
    So naturally, three out of every four voters I meet are mad as hell.
    The fourth either works for government, collects a subsidy and wants more, or is an outright dependent of the state.

  12. Ghost of FA Hayek says:

    Wilberforce
    There has been a big push by Republicans here for more poll watchers and election judges after the Franken fiasco
    They will be needed when Tim Tebow and Tom Brady show up to vote
    http://pjmedia.com/rogerlsimon/2012/02/07/breaking-video-tim-tebow-and-tom-brady-register-to-vote-in-minnesota/
    Or when Minnesota Secretary of State Mark Richie’s staffers show up to vote
    http://www.myfoxtwincities.com/story/19049523/homeland-security-fraudulent-drivers-licenses-are-security-threat

  13. mega says:

    My entire universe of friends (offline and on) have talked themselves into the viewpoint that all of the polls, including Intrade (where people bet their real money on outcomes) are a combination of: wrong, skewed, biased, and/or fraudulent.

    I for one believe the general gist of what they’re saying, that Romney is in free-fall.

    Before something can be fixed, the problem has to be acknowledged. Right now, conservatives are refusing to acknowledge the problem.

    Mitt Romney is running the WORST presidential campaign in 100+ years. He is bunting here, and trying to eeke out a single there. He is YET to really get his campaign in gear and kick ass with big issues, big themes, big … anything. Everything with Romney is a little quip on the news, a stupid 30 second ad that makes some tiny point. He’s 40 days from election and STILL has not really started his campaign.

    Picking Ryan was inspired, but what has he done with it since then? Neither Romney or Ryan has been out there sellin’ it.

    Romney’s tentativenss and “Obama’s a nice guy whose just in over his head” nonsense is worse, WORSE than McCain ever was.

    Could he turn it around? Maybe. We’ll see. But I am not going to lie to myself about this. Right NOW, as of this moment, his is losing.

  14. Ghost of FA Hayek says:

    Mega
    Let’s take this one step further.
    I have met more than one self identified Libertarian who proudly proclaimed they are voting BO, for the express purpose of, and I quote “teach this country a lesson”
    The theory is that the left must tear this nation to the ground and destroy the Republican party before their Libertarian ideals can take hold
    So I ask what they will do when the pitchforks inevitably show up at their front door and I am out there with a metal file, helpfully sharpening their tines.
    Maybe the point is that we SHOULDN’T be out there looking for our own omnipotent dictator to hand us back our freedoms, along with five bucks and a new suit.
    I also question whether Romney’s 47 percent remark isn’t actually biting into Obama’s 47 percent base.
    Obama’s stump speeches now include “hey hey 47 percent, Romney called you dependent”
    I wonder if the remark actually caused some of them to look in the mirror.
    Just sayin

  15. Sinister66 says:

    mega says:

    I agree with everything you said, But have hopes Romney can pull something out of his ass in the debates. That should be his “turn around” moment.

  16. wingmann says:

    Getting better but 65% still are going to vote for the dog eater?? WOW!

    http://www.jpost.com/USPresidentialrace/Article.aspx?id=286414

  17. Wilberforce says:

    Ghost of FA Hayek

    Yep, been following those races just below you in Iowa; let’s hope they turn out for the better! Just to the south of you, we’re pushing for Steve King to win big time over Sec. Of Agriculture Tom Vilsack’s wife, Christie. Should be a rout 🙂

  18. wingmann says:

    “A new survey out today shows how much time we waste every day in our lives. For example, we waste seven minutes in line every time we go to get coffee, 28 minutes getting through airport security, four years waiting for Obama to do something about the economy. Every year, we waste a lot. We wasted a lot of time.”
    Jay Leno

    Read more: http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2012/09/28/leno-we-wasted-four-years-waiting-obama-do-something-about-economy#ixzz27ml17KA3

  19. Cameraman says:

    At This point, we could see The Purple Lipped Usuper get another Four Years to Finish destroying the Republic, or Romney will get a Break, and something will upset The Obama Machine..Voter Apathy most likely from his Base, thinking he”s a Shoe In..the Only Poll I will believe, will be election Night…Winner or Loser we will all know How to Prepare….Semper Fi

  20. Jill says:

    After reading about this stuff it now just pisses me off when I hear a conservative talking about how close the race is and quoting these ridiculously skewed polls- like Newt the other day, for example. I know they’re just hedging their bets, but come on…

    Talking about hedging bets …

    Intrade now has Romney to win at 20/80 (down from 42/58 on Sept 10)- that means that a $1,000 investment in Romney pays $5,000 when he wins in a mere six weeks. Those dummys on Intrade must be believing those skewed polls – what fools!

    Just think how high you’ll feel when, not only does Romney win, but you get a five fold return on investment in under six weeks.

    Mortgage the house, cash in your pension, bet on Romney! He IS going to win – isn’t he?

  21. True Blue says:

    Yes, this SHOULD be Romney’s to win. Why then is he not tearing ribbons off the 0’s hide?
    0’s record is so abysmal that R&R SHOULD be roasting the Zero’s chestnuts over an open fire by now, yet they are not. Why?
    He cannot possibly be hoping for a fairly moderated debate; I only hope that afterward he really comes out swinging against the Zero’s record. We’ll worry about a Third Party AFTER the election.


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