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May 01 2020

Lockdowns for Another 18–24 Months?

The “Flatten the Curve” strategy has caused $trillions in economic damage and thrown 30 million Americans out of work. The original point of it was not to prevent people from getting the ChiCom virus, but to delay their getting it. That way, hospitals would not become overwhelmed by a large number of people falling sick at the same time.

Normally with pandemics, there is a sharp spike that quickly recedes as herd immunity sets in. With the curve flattened, a plateau is reached, at which the disease holds steady long after it otherwise would have passed.

Given that we now know the disease is nowhere near as deadly as previously imagined, and that hospitals throughout the country are overwhelmed not by COVID-19 patients but by the lack of any patients, causing massive furloughs and layoffs of healthcare personnel, you may be wondering what is the point of continuing to impose Flatten the Curve through mandated lockdowns.

A CNN report offers a clue:

The new coronavirus is likely to keep spreading for at least another 18 months to two years—until 60% to 70% of the population has been infected, a team of longstanding pandemic experts predicted in a report released Thursday. …

“This thing’s not going to stop until it infects 60 to 70 percent of people,” Mike Osterholm, who directs the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy (CIDRAP) at the University of Minnesota, told CNN.

That’s when we achieve the herd immunity that Flatten the Curve delays.

As for a vaccine, that is unlikely to be available before next year, if ever.

The authors of the report can’t understand why anyone would lift the suffocating lockdown restrictions now. Some states that are lifting them have more new cases than when the lockdowns began.

Those states have tacitly acknowledged that the lockdowns never should have been imposed in the first place. We cannot lock down the entire economy and live on free money printed by the government for 2 years. The resulting starvation and political violence would kill many times more people than coronavirus ever could.

Since lockdowns only serve to delay the herd immunity that will put an end to the lockdowns, the purpose of the lockdowns is the lockdowns themselves. If this is hard to understand, talk to one of the governors most conspicuous for inflicting capricious COVID-19 tyranny, like Michigan’s Gretchen Whitmer and Maine’s Janet Mills; they seem to get it.

On a tip from Dragon’s Lair.

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